{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable-how-bayesian-statistics-explain-our-world-tom-chivers-paperback","title":"Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World -- Tom Chivers, Paperback","description":"\u003cb\u003eA \"fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting\" (Oliver Burkeman, \u003ci\u003eNew York Times\u003c\/i\u003e bestselling author) tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e \u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy\u003c\/i\u003e.\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eAt its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in \u003ci\u003eEverything Is Predictable, \u003c\/i\u003e Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eBut who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\"Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy\" (Tim Harford, author of \u003ci\u003eThe Undercover Economist\u003c\/i\u003e), \u003ci\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/i\u003e is an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e Tom Chivers\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Atria\/One Signal Publishers\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 07\/08\/2025\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 384\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eBinding Type:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.68lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 8.38h x 5.50w x 0.96d\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN:\u003c\/b\u003e 9781668052631\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAbout the Author\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eTom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for \u003ci\u003eSemafor\u003c\/i\u003e. His writing has appeared in \u003ci\u003eThe Times \u003c\/i\u003e(London), \u003ci\u003eThe Guardian\u003c\/i\u003e, \u003ci\u003eNew Scientist\u003c\/i\u003e, \u003ci\u003eWired\u003c\/i\u003e, CNN, and more. His books include \u003ci\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/i\u003e, \u003ci\u003eThe Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy\u003c\/i\u003e, and \u003ci\u003eHow to Read Numbers\u003c\/i\u003e.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Tom Chivers","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":67423866454244,"sku":"9781668052631","price":13.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0611\/9587\/8628\/files\/9781668052631.jpg?v=1790927473","url":"https:\/\/bookandmortar.com\/products\/everything-is-predictable-how-bayesian-statistics-explain-our-world-tom-chivers-paperback","provider":"BookandMortar","version":"1.0","type":"link"}